Finance

North to South finance issues underly nearly all of of the major areas under negotiation for the post-2012 climate protection regime. Under the FCCC signed in Rio in 1992, in recognition of their responsibility for the vast majority of the global warming pollution in the atmosphere, developed countries committed to provide financial support to the developing countries to address both adaptation costs and the incremental costs of their low carbon development1, a commitment that has not been met from the perspective of developing countries.  Under the 2007 Bali Action Plan that framed the mandate for negotiations in Copenhagen, developed countries again agreed that developing country actions were to be enabled and supported by finance provided by developed countries.

Developing countries maintain that significant new and additional sources of financial support are essential to cover the costs of climate adaptation, forest protection, and mitigation activities to help put developing countries onto a low carbon development path, through renewable energy deployment and more efficient technologies. Estimates of the scale of the need vary significantly, though is estimated to be well in excess of $150B/year to support both emissions mitigation and adaptation efforts.

The scale of need and form of financial support being put on the table by developed countries represents not only a substantial negotiating point for Copenhagen, but would have significant real world impact on how much emissions growth occurs in the coming decade. With approximately 75% of the growth in global energy demand estimated to come from developing countries over the next 20 years, developing countries will continue to make substantial investments in their energy infrastructure.  Without adequate financing, many developing countries could become “locked-in” to much higher carbon development path.

Key finance questions on the table for Copenhagen:

  • Scale of financial support needed;
  • Amount of new support being committed and timetable (including “fast-start” support);
  • Where the support is coming from (Public vs. Private; Special Assessments);
  • Who should contribute (Developed vs. Developing Countries)
  • What mechanism or institution is managing and deciding what activities are funded.
  1. UNFCCC Articles 3.1, 4.3, 4.4, 4.5, 4.8, and 4.9

Finance Reports

More Finance Reports...

Financing Climate Protection

Country Estimate of Need or impact of Proposal Proposal for Addressing Financing Need Specific Commitments Made
African Group

Need:At least $67B/year for adaptation

$200B/year for mitigation by 2020 (.5 GDP of Annex II Parties)

Who: Commitments by developed countries for public and private sector finance, with major source from public sector.  
AOSIS

Impact:AAU Auction: $15-25B/Yr

Aviation & Marine Auction (Tuvalu): $28B/yr

Where: Auctioning of AAUs under convention(Norway); (Tuvalu: Auctioning of Marine & Aviation Allowances)

Mechanism: Multilateral Fund for Climate Change under UNFCCC

 
G77 & China

Need:Contributions at level of 0.5-1% GDP for developed countries

Mitigation cost in China $438 B annually within 20 years

Where: Assessed contributions from developed countries.

Who:  Annex I countries to provide bulk of necessary financing

Where: Multilateral Climate Technology Fund (MCTF), supported by technical panels.   (Only funding under authority of COP will count toward financial commitments from developed countries)

 
European Union Impact:100€B/year in 2020 for adaptation & mitigation.

Amount: 22-50B€/year  from public funds. Remainder from carbon market offset purchases and private finance.

Who: All but Least Developed Countries(LDC), based on GDP and historic responsibility, and level of emission reduction commitments.

Fast Start: 5-7€B/year pre-2013.
Mexico Impact:Minimum of $10B for initial phase Establishment of World Climate Change Fund, requiring all governments to contribute based on formula reflecting the size of each nation’s gross domestic product, greenhouse gas emissions and population. (SIDS/LDCs excluded)  
Norway Impact:Auction could generate $15-25 B/yr, (revenue highly dependent on level of Annex I Targets.) As compliment to other funding contributions, proposal that 2% of AAU (pollution allowances) issued under post-2012 agreement be auctioned, with revenue used toward climate protection activities in developing countries.  Recent report on Norway’s Proposal (Sept 2009)  
Switzerland Impact:$18B/yr for adaptation Fossil fuel tax of $2 per Ton/Co2, with exemption of 1.5 T C02 per capita. FCCC/AWGLCA/2008/MISC5, p. 94-100.  
United States(see Annex IX)  

Mechanism: Create Global Fund for Climate, governed by balanced board of donor & recipient, utilizing existing institution as trustee.

Who: All countries but LDCs

 
UN/NGO Estimates: Report Name & Date
UNFCCC

In 2030

Adaptation:$60-182B

Mitigation: $200-210B

UNFCCC: Investment and Financial Flows to Address Climate Change (October 2007)

Update (Nov 2008)

 
UNDP Adaptation: $86 B/Yr Human Development Report 2007/2008 Fighting climate change: Human solidarity in a divided world  
Oxfam International Adaptation: $50 B/Yr “Turning Carbon Into Gold”, December 2008